Explain the likely effect of the UK’s current account position in April to June (Q2) 2017 on the UK’s circular flow of income.
Question
Explain the likely effect of the UK’s current account position in April to June (Q2) 2017 on the UK’s circular flow of income.
Solution
The UK's current account position can have a significant impact on the country's circular flow of income. The circular flow of income is a model that represents the transactions in an economy in terms of flows of goods, services, and money between households and firms.
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If the UK had a current account deficit in Q2 2017, this means that the UK was importing more goods, services, and possibly capital than it was exporting. This could lead to an outflow of money from the UK to other countries. In the circular flow of income, this would be represented as a leakage, or withdrawal, from the flow. This could potentially lead to a decrease in national income, as there would be less money circulating within the UK economy.
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On the other hand, if the UK had a current account surplus in Q2 2017, this means that the UK was exporting more than it was importing. This could lead to an inflow of money into the UK from other countries. In the circular flow of income, this would be represented as an injection, or addition, to the flow. This could potentially lead to an increase in national income, as there would be more money circulating within the UK economy.
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It's also important to note that the effect of the UK's current account position on the circular flow of income can be influenced by other factors, such as the government's fiscal policy, the level of investment in the economy, and consumer confidence. For example, if the government increases public spending or cuts taxes, this could stimulate demand and offset any negative effects of a current account deficit.
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Finally, the effect of the UK's current account position on the circular flow of income can also depend on how the Bank of England responds. If the Bank of England perceives that the current account deficit is leading to a decrease in national income, it could potentially lower interest rates to stimulate borrowing and spending, which could help to boost the circular flow of income.
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