Q2 : Judging from the current housing price market in China, what is the future trend? Will house prices fall?

To analyze the future trend of housing prices in China, we can consider several key factors that influence the real estate market. Below are the relevant aspects to evaluate:

1. Economic Indicators: Examine economic data such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and consumer confidence. If the economy is growing, it may support higher house prices.

2. Supply and Demand: Assess the balance between housing supply and demand. If there is an oversupply of homes, prices may drop; conversely, if demand exceeds supply, prices may rise.

3. Government Policies: Review recent government policies on housing, such as restrictions on purchases, lending rates, and any stimulus measures that could affect the market.

4. Interest Rates: Analyze the current and projected interest rates. Higher interest rates can lead to decreased affordability, which may dampen demand and lead to lower prices.

5. Global Economic Factors: Consider how global economic conditions might influence the Chinese housing market, including foreign investment and trade relations.

6. Market Sentiment: Gauge general market sentiment and predictions by real estate experts, as public perception can greatly influence the housing market.

Conclusion

• The future trend of housing prices will depend on the interplay of these factors. An increase in supply combined with high interest rates and sluggish economic growth could result in falling prices. Conversely, strong demand in a growing economy with supportive government policies might lead to price stability or increases.

Given the complexity of these factors, it's crucial to continue monitoring the situation closely to make informed predictions about future housing prices in China.