Which one of the following is a measure for forecasting error?Group of answer choicesNoise detectionTracking interceptionTracking signalBiasnessRandomness
Question
Which one of the following is a measure for forecasting error?
- Noise detection
- Tracking interception
- Tracking signal
- Biasness
- Randomness
Solution
The measure for forecasting error among the given options is the Tracking Signal.
Here's how it works:
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The tracking signal is a measure that indicates whether the forecast average is keeping pace with any genuine upward or downward changes in demand.
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This is calculated by dividing the cumulative forecast error by the mean absolute deviation.
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The tracking signal can be used to detect forecast bias. If the tracking signal reaches a predetermined threshold, this may indicate that the forecast is consistently too high or too low.
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This information can then be used to adjust the forecasting method or parameters to improve future forecasts.
So, the tracking signal is a useful tool for measuring and correcting forecasting error.
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