One method in selecting a project option is to use a numerical model. Briefly explain and Payback method noting the advantages and disadvantages.
Question
One method in selecting a project option is to use a numerical model. Briefly explain and Payback method noting the advantages and disadvantages.
Solution
The Payback Method is a simple investment appraisal technique that calculates the time required to "pay back" the initial investment from the cash inflows generated by the project.
Here's how it works:
- Calculate the initial investment required for the project.
- Estimate the cash inflows that the project will generate over its life.
- Determine the payback period, which is the time it takes for the cash inflows to equal the initial investment.
Advantages of the Payback Method:
- Simplicity: It is easy to understand and calculate.
- Liquidity focus: It emphasizes the recovery of the initial investment, which can be important for liquidity management.
- Risk exposure: Shorter payback periods reduce exposure to risks such as market or technology changes.
Disadvantages of the Payback Method:
- Time value of money: The method does not consider the time value of money. Cash inflows received in the future are not discounted, which can overstate the value of the project.
- Profitability: It does not consider cash inflows received after the payback period, potentially ignoring the overall profitability of the project.
- Arbitrary benchmark: The decision rule (i.e., whether the payback period must be less than a certain number of years) is often arbitrary and not based on any economic or financial theory.
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