10% ChanceWin 0 $90% ChanceWin 100 $ I am willing to pay at most $ to play the lottery.
Question
10% Chance Win
0
90% Chance Win $100
I am willing to pay at most
Solution
The expected value of the lottery can be calculated using the formula:
Expected Value = (Probability of Winning * Amount Won per Win) + (Probability of Losing * Amount Lost per Loss)
In this case, the probability of winning is 90% or 0.9 and the amount won per win is 0 (since you don't lose any money if you don't win).
So, the expected value of the lottery is:
Expected Value = (0.9 * 0) = $90
This means that, on average, you can expect to win 90 to play this lottery. If you pay more than this, you would be losing money in the long run.
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