40% ChanceWin 0 $60% ChanceWin 100 $ I am willing to pay at most $ to play the lottery.
Question
40% ChanceWin 0
I am willing to pay at most
$ to play the lottery.
Solution
The amount you should be willing to pay to play the lottery can be calculated using the concept of Expected Value in probability.
Here's how to calculate it:
-
Multiply each outcome by the chance of it happening.
- For the 0.
- For the 60.
-
Add up these values.
- 60 = $60.
So, the most you should be willing to pay to play this lottery is 60 each time you play.
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