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Let . Use the Normal approximation (with the continuity correction) to calculate P(X > 64). Give your answer to 4 decimal places.

Question

Let

Use the Normal approximation (with the continuity correction) to calculate P(X > 64).

Give your answer to 4 decimal places.

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Solution

1. Break Down the Problem

We need to calculate P(X>64) P(X > 64) using the Normal approximation with continuity correction for a binomial distribution.

2. Relevant Concepts

  1. Binomial Distribution Parameters:

    • Let n n be the number of trials.
    • Let p p be the probability of success on each trial.
    • Therefore, X X follows a binomial distribution XBinomial(n,p) X \sim \text{Binomial}(n, p) .
  2. Normal Approximation:

    • When n n is large, the binomial distribution can be approximated by a normal distribution: XN(μ,σ2) X \sim N(\mu, \sigma^2) where
    • μ=np \mu = np (mean),
    • σ2=np(1p) \sigma^2 = np(1-p) (variance).
  3. Continuity Correction:

    • To approximate P(X>64) P(X > 64) , we use the continuity correction: P(X>64)P(X65)P(Z>64.5μσ) P(X > 64) \approx P(X \geq 65) \approx P\left( Z > \frac{64.5 - \mu}{\sigma} \right) where Z Z follows the standard normal distribution ZN(0,1) Z \sim N(0, 1) .

3. Analysis and Detail

  • Calculate μ \mu and σ \sigma with the given n n and p p :
    • Suppose n n and p p are given (add values here if provided).
  1. Mean Calculation: μ=np \mu = np

  2. Variance Calculation: σ2=np(1p)σ=np(1p) \sigma^2 = np(1-p) \quad \Rightarrow \quad \sigma = \sqrt{np(1-p)}

  3. Calculate Z-score: Z=64.5μσ Z = \frac{64.5 - \mu}{\sigma}

4. Verify and Summarize

  • After obtaining Z Z , look up the corresponding value in the standard normal distribution table or use a calculator to find P(Z>z) P(Z > z) .

Final Answer

  • Provide the probability value to four decimal places after calculating from the Z-score.

(Note: Please provide the values of n n and p p to complete the calculations.)

This problem has been solved

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